Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Friday 27 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Alinma Stadium, Jeddah · updated 2026-11-14
Al Ittihad welcome NEOM SC to Alinma Stadium in Jeddah in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Al Ittihad have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 64% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 57% win rate. NEOM SC have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Ittihad are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 26% and NEOM SC at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Ittihad 1.57, NEOM SC 1.14.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Ittihad: form and key numbers
In style Al Ittihad take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 2.01 a match created, 1.36 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
NEOM SC: form and key numbers
In style NEOM SC keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 1.31 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC: season averages side by side
| Al Ittihad | Per match this season | NEOM SC |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 2.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.48 |
| 1.36 | xG conceded | 1.31 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.2 | On target | 4.0 |
| 51.7 | Possession % | 53.9 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 73% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Al Ittihad
- Predrag Rajković GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 26 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Youssef En-Nesyri CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 16 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 26% of his position)
NEOM SC
- Marcin Bulka GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 25 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 28% of his position)
- Alaa Hejji CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 15 · Secure passer, Gets into scoring positions (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Saïd Benrahma
Saïd Benrahma, 31 · NEOM SC · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 28
Saïd Benrahma, 31, plays as a winger for NEOM SC in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 28
- LW · Winger Natural, 28
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 25
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.19 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.54 / 90 | 76% |
| Expected goals | 0.58 / 90 | 72% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.78 / 90 | 68% |
| Key passes | 3.36 / 90 | 46% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator.
- What Saïd Benrahma is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Saïd Benrahma's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC prediction
NEOM SC should have more of the ball; Al Ittihad like to take players on; NEOM SC go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.57 for Al Ittihad and 1.14 for NEOM SC - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Al Ittihad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Ittihad 2-1 NEOM SC
Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Ittihad unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Saudi Pro League previews
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- Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Friday 27 November 2026
- Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha Friday 27 November 2026
- Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Saturday 28 November 2026
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Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC: questions and answers
When is Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC?
Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC played?
At Alinma Stadium, Jeddah, Al Ittihad's home ground.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC?
Al Ittihad are the favourites: Al Ittihad 47%, draw 26%, NEOM SC 27%. Our prediction is Al Ittihad 2-1 NEOM SC.
Who is the player to watch in Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC?
Saïd Benrahma of NEOM SC: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 28 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.