Amed SK vs Rizespor Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 12
Süper Lig · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır · updated 2026-11-13
Amed SK welcome Rizespor to Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu in Diyarbakır in Süper Lig Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Amed SK have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 64% of them. At home they average 3.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 86% win rate. Rizespor have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Amed SK are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 22% and Rizespor at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Amed SK 2.09, Rizespor 1.06.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Amed SK: form and key numbers
In style Amed SK press high, take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.89 a match created, 0.91 conceded (goals minus xG: +7.2).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Rizespor: form and key numbers
In style Rizespor keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 1.30 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.5).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Amed SK vs Rizespor: season averages side by side
| Amed SK | Per match this season | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.5 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.89 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.59 |
| 0.91 | xG conceded | 1.30 |
| 16.0 | Shots | 16.2 |
| 5.3 | On target | 5.0 |
| 47.9 | Possession % | 54.0 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Amed SK
- Mbaye Diagne CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 43 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 3% of his position)
- Ermal Krasniqi RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 38 · Dribbler, Creator (top 17% of his position)
Rizespor
- Qazim Laci CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 42 · Chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
- Zakaria Ariss LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Creator (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gift Orban
Gift Orban, 24 · Amed SK · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 45
Gift Orban, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Amed SK in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and goals, luck taken out. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 45
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 79% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.79 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected goals | 0.70 / 90 | 75% |
| Shots on target | 46% | 65% |
| Shots | 3.76 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★ Inside forward Winger
- What Gift Orban is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gift Orban's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Amed SK vs Rizespor prediction
Rizespor should have more of the ball, with Amed SK likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Amed SK like to take players on; Rizespor work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.09 for Amed SK and 1.06 for Rizespor - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 58%. Amed SK have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Amed SK 2-1 Rizespor
Amed SK vs Rizespor: what the numbers say
- 1. Amed SK win, the likeliest result 61% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 61% by the model, 3.15 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Süper Lig previews
- Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Saturday 21 November 2026
- Galatasaray vs Samsunspor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Saturday 21 November 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026
- İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK Monday 23 November 2026
Amed SK vs Rizespor: questions and answers
When is Amed SK vs Rizespor?
Amed SK vs Rizespor is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 12.
Where is Amed SK vs Rizespor played?
At Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır, Amed SK's home ground.
Who will win Amed SK vs Rizespor?
Amed SK are the favourites: Amed SK 61%, draw 22%, Rizespor 18%. Our prediction is Amed SK 2-1 Rizespor.
Who is the player to watch in Amed SK vs Rizespor?
Gift Orban of Amed SK: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 45 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Amed SK vs Rizespor?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.