Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 12
Süper Lig · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara · updated 2026-11-13
Gençlerbirliği welcome Gaziantep F.K. to Eryaman Stadyumu in Ankara in Süper Lig Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Gençlerbirliği have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Gaziantep F.K. have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Gençlerbirliği 40%, the draw 27%, Gaziantep F.K. 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gençlerbirliği 1.42, Gaziantep F.K. 1.26.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Gençlerbirliği: form and key numbers
In style Gençlerbirliği are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 2.02 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 42.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Gaziantep F.K.: form and key numbers
In style Gaziantep F.K. play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 1.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.8).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.: season averages side by side
| Gençlerbirliği | Per match this season | Gaziantep F.K. |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.17 |
| 2.02 | xG conceded | 1.59 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 3.7 | On target | 3.9 |
| 42.0 | Possession % | 51.5 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Gençlerbirliği
- Zan Zuzek CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 4% of his position)
- İrfan Can Eğribayat GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 20% of his position)
Gaziantep F.K.
- Arda Kızıldağ CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Reads the game (top 13% of his position)
- Juninho Bacuna CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 42 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Tiago Gouveia
Tiago Gouveia, 25 · Gençlerbirliği · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 39
Tiago Gouveia, 25, plays as a winger for Gençlerbirliği in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 39
- RW · Winger Natural, 39
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 36
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.55 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 2.03 / 90 | 57% |
| Fouls won | 2.03 / 90 | 56% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.15 / 90 | 52% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.20 / 90 | 42% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Tiago Gouveia is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Tiago Gouveia's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. prediction
Gaziantep F.K. should have more of the ball, with Gençlerbirliği likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Gençlerbirliği go long and direct; Gaziantep F.K. work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.42 for Gençlerbirliği and 1.26 for Gaziantep F.K. - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Gaziantep F.K.
Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 40%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.: questions and answers
When is Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 12.
Where is Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. played?
At Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara, Gençlerbirliği's home ground.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.?
It is close: Gençlerbirliği 40%, draw 27%, Gaziantep F.K. 33%. Our prediction is Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Gaziantep F.K..
Who is the player to watch in Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Tiago Gouveia of Gençlerbirliği: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 39 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K.?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.