İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 12
Süper Lig · Monday 23 November 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul · updated 2026-11-13
İstanbul Başakşehir welcome Çorum FK to Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 12 action on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
İstanbul Başakşehir have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 45% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 80% win rate. Çorum FK have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, İstanbul Başakşehir are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 23% and Çorum FK at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: İstanbul Başakşehir 1.93, Çorum FK 1.46.
- Over 2.5 goals: 66% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
İstanbul Başakşehir: form and key numbers
In style İstanbul Başakşehir play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 50.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Çorum FK: form and key numbers
In style Çorum FK play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 1.33 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.6).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK: season averages side by side
| İstanbul Başakşehir | Per match this season | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 1.33 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 4.6 | On target | 5.2 |
| 50.7 | Possession % | 51.8 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
İstanbul Başakşehir
- Davie Selke CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 46 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 7% of his position)
- Ivan Brnic LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Çorum FK
- Berat Özdemir DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 41 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 15% of his position)
- Çağlar Söyüncü CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 29% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexandros Kyziridis
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26 · Çorum FK · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 48
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26, plays as a winger for Çorum FK in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 48
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 46
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.18 / 90 | 81% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.36 / 90 | 66% |
| Big chances created | 0.49 / 90 | 65% |
| Dispossessed | 0.86 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator.
- What Alexandros Kyziridis is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexandros Kyziridis's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK prediction
Çorum FK should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.93 for İstanbul Başakşehir and 1.46 for Çorum FK - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 66%. İstanbul Başakşehir have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: İstanbul Başakşehir 2-1 Çorum FK
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK: what the numbers say
- 1. İstanbul Başakşehir unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 66% by the model, 3.39 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
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İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK: questions and answers
When is İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK?
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK is on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 12.
Where is İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK played?
At Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul, İstanbul Başakşehir's home ground.
Who will win İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK?
İstanbul Başakşehir are the favourites: İstanbul Başakşehir 48%, draw 23%, Çorum FK 29%. Our prediction is İstanbul Başakşehir 2-1 Çorum FK.
Who is the player to watch in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK?
Alexandros Kyziridis of Çorum FK: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Çorum FK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.