Antwerp vs Anderlecht Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bosuilstadion, Deurne · updated 2026-11-15
Antwerp welcome Anderlecht to Bosuilstadion in Deurne in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Antwerp have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Anderlecht have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 55% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Anderlecht are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 25% and Antwerp at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Antwerp 1.34, Anderlecht 1.73.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Antwerp: form and key numbers
In style Antwerp play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.9).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Anderlecht: form and key numbers
In style Anderlecht keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 1.07 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.8).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Antwerp vs Anderlecht: season averages side by side
| Antwerp | Per match this season | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 2.2 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 2.12 | xG conceded | 1.07 |
| 14.4 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.0 | On target | 5.0 |
| 49.4 | Possession % | 58.5 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Antwerp
- Álvaro Cortés CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 58 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 4% of his position)
- Snayder Porozo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 55 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 13% of his position)
Anderlecht
- Ilias Koutsoupias CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Reads the game, Secure passer (top 14% of his position)
- Tawfik Bentayeb CF · Pressing forward · Moneyball Score 49 · Accurate shooter, Dominant in the air (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Michael Frey
Michael Frey, 32 · Antwerp · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 62
Michael Frey, 32, plays as a centre-forward for Antwerp in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 54
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.20 / 90 | 96% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 90% |
| Duels won | 7.87 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.67 / 90 | 79% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.64 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Michael Frey is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Michael Frey's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Antwerp vs Anderlecht prediction
Anderlecht should have more of the ball, with Antwerp likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Antwerp are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Anderlecht work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.34 for Antwerp and 1.73 for Anderlecht - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 61%. Anderlecht have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht
Antwerp vs Anderlecht: what the numbers say
- 1. Anderlecht unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 59% by the model, 3.07 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Antwerp vs Anderlecht: questions and answers
When is Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Antwerp vs Anderlecht is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Antwerp vs Anderlecht played?
At Bosuilstadion, Deurne, Antwerp's home ground.
Who will win Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Anderlecht are the favourites: Antwerp 29%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 46%. Our prediction is Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht.
Who is the player to watch in Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Michael Frey of Antwerp: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Anderlecht?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.