SK Beveren vs Gent Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, Beveren · updated 2026-11-13
SK Beveren welcome Gent to Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark in Beveren in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
SK Beveren have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Gent have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 82% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Gent are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 24% and SK Beveren at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: SK Beveren 0.86, Gent 1.83.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
SK Beveren: form and key numbers
In style SK Beveren play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 50.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Gent: form and key numbers
In style Gent are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.54 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
SK Beveren vs Gent: season averages side by side
| SK Beveren | Per match this season | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.54 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | 1.03 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 11.3 |
| 3.9 | On target | 5.2 |
| 50.1 | Possession % | 45.8 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 55% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 5.5 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.97 |
Players to watch
SK Beveren
- Arno Verschueren AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 52 · Creator, Chance creator (top 26% of his position)
- Cheick Condé DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 49 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 8% of his position)
Gent
- Maksim Paskotsi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Dominant in the air, Ball-winner (top 38% of his position)
- Mathias Delorge CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 50 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: José Mendieta
José Mendieta · Gent · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 66
José Mendieta plays as a centre-forward for Gent in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 66
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 52
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.86 / 90 | 90% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 xG/shot | 86% |
| Duels won | 8.43 / 90 | 84% |
| Expected goals | 0.54 / 90 | 80% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.52 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What José Mendieta is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open José Mendieta's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
SK Beveren vs Gent prediction
SK Beveren should have more of the ball; SK Beveren work the ball wide and cross; Gent are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 0.86 for SK Beveren and 1.83 for Gent - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 49%. Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: SK Beveren 1-2 Gent
SK Beveren vs Gent: what the numbers say
- 1. Gent win, the likeliest result 60% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.69 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.8 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
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- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
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SK Beveren vs Gent: questions and answers
When is SK Beveren vs Gent?
SK Beveren vs Gent is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is SK Beveren vs Gent played?
At Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, Beveren, SK Beveren's home ground.
Who will win SK Beveren vs Gent?
Gent are the favourites: SK Beveren 17%, draw 24%, Gent 60%. Our prediction is SK Beveren 1-2 Gent.
Who is the player to watch in SK Beveren vs Gent?
José Mendieta of Gent: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in SK Beveren vs Gent?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.