Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge · updated 2026-11-13
Cercle Brugge welcome Westerlo to Jan Breydelstadion in Brugge in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Cercle Brugge have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Westerlo have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Cercle Brugge are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 21% and Westerlo at 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Cercle Brugge 2.11, Westerlo 1.96.
- Over 2.5 goals: 77% · both teams to score: 76%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Cercle Brugge: form and key numbers
In style Cercle Brugge are happy without the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.41 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 41.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Westerlo: form and key numbers
In style Westerlo take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.3).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo: season averages side by side
| Cercle Brugge | Per match this season | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 2.4 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 2.7 |
| 1.41 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 2.05 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 4.2 | On target | 5.3 |
| 41.7 | Possession % | 50.5 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Cercle Brugge
- Steve Ngoura CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 61 · Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 24% of his position)
- Royer Caicedo CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 13% of his position)
Westerlo
- Cameron Congreve WMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 69 · Creator, Crosser (top 1% of his position)
- Ibrahim Fofana DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 54 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée, 27 · Cercle Brugge · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 69
Gary Magnée, 27, plays as a wing-back for Cercle Brugge in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 69
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 69
- RB · Full-back Natural, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 3.19 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 3.30 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 1.96 / 90 | 91% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.28 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected goals | 0.10 / 90 | 57% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Reads the game.
- What Gary Magnée is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gary Magnée's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo prediction
Westerlo should have more of the ball, with Cercle Brugge likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Cercle Brugge work the ball wide and cross; Westerlo like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 2.11 for Cercle Brugge and 1.96 for Westerlo - with over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 76%. Cercle Brugge have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Cercle Brugge 3-1 Westerlo
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo: what the numbers say
- 1. Cercle Brugge unbeaten (win or draw) 64% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 58% by the model, 4.08 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 76% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lommel SK vs Standard Liège Sunday 22 November 2026
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo: questions and answers
When is Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo played?
At Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge, Cercle Brugge's home ground.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
Cercle Brugge are the favourites: Cercle Brugge 42%, draw 21%, Westerlo 36%. Our prediction is Cercle Brugge 3-1 Westerlo.
Who is the player to watch in Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
Gary Magnée of Cercle Brugge: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 77%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.