Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Elindus Arena, Waregem · updated 2026-11-13
Zulte-Waregem welcome Antwerp to Elindus Arena in Waregem in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Zulte-Waregem have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Antwerp have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Zulte-Waregem are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 24% and Antwerp at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Zulte-Waregem 1.81, Antwerp 1.50.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Zulte-Waregem: form and key numbers
In style Zulte-Waregem are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.24 a match created, 1.55 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 40.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Antwerp: form and key numbers
In style Antwerp play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.52 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp: season averages side by side
| Zulte-Waregem | Per match this season | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.24 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 1.55 | xG conceded | 2.12 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 4.1 | On target | 5.0 |
| 40.9 | Possession % | 49.3 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Zulte-Waregem
- Yannick Cappelle LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 57 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 8% of his position)
- Brent Gabriël GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Antwerp
- Álvaro Cortés CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 68 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Snayder Porozo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64 · Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 16% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Michael Frey
Michael Frey, 32 · Antwerp · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 70
Michael Frey, 32, plays as a centre-forward for Antwerp in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 70
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.20 / 90 | 96% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 88% |
| Duels won | 7.87 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.66 / 90 | 78% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.63 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Michael Frey is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Michael Frey's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp prediction
Antwerp should have more of the ball, with Zulte-Waregem likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Zulte-Waregem go long and direct; Antwerp are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.81 for Zulte-Waregem and 1.50 for Antwerp - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%. Zulte-Waregem have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Zulte-Waregem 2-1 Antwerp
Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp: what the numbers say
- 1. Zulte-Waregem unbeaten (win or draw) 68% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 64% by the model, 3.31 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lommel SK vs Standard Liège Sunday 22 November 2026
Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp: questions and answers
When is Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?
Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp played?
At Elindus Arena, Waregem, Zulte-Waregem's home ground.
Who will win Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?
Zulte-Waregem are the favourites: Zulte-Waregem 45%, draw 24%, Antwerp 32%. Our prediction is Zulte-Waregem 2-1 Antwerp.
Who is the player to watch in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?
Michael Frey of Antwerp: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.