AS Roma vs Inter Milan: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Serie A · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
AS Roma host Inter Milan in the Serie A on Saturday 19 September 2026.
Form in numbers
- Inter Milan create more: 2.80 expected goals a match against 2.55 for AS Roma.
- AS Roma give away less, 1.05 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: AS Roma 20.6 (7.0 on target), Inter Milan 23.2 (7.4 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): AS Roma 67.9%, Inter Milan 80.1%.
| AS Roma | Per match | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.80 |
| 1.05 | xG conceded | 1.24 |
| 2.80 | Goals | 3.00 |
| 20.6 | Shots | 23.2 |
| 7.0 | Shots on target | 7.4 |
| 2.4 | Big chances missed | 3.6 |
| 67.9 | Pressure share % | 80.1 |
| 20.6 | Tackles | 16.6 |
| 13.0 | Fouls | 6.6 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings AS Roma won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | AS Roma | 2 – 2 | Inter Milan |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Inter Milan | 5 – 2 | AS Roma |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AS Roma | 0 – 1 | Inter Milan |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Inter Milan | 0 – 1 | AS Roma |
| 20 Oct 2024 | AS Roma | 0 – 1 | Inter Milan |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.