Como vs AS Roma: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Como host AS Roma in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Como 36%, the draw 28%, AS Roma 36% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Como 0 at 1.96, AS Roma at 1.94. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.92, under 1.97, which gives over 51%.
Form in numbers
- AS Roma create more: 2.55 expected goals a match against 1.90 for Como.
- AS Roma give away less, 1.05 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Como 23.4 (7.2 on target), AS Roma 20.6 (7.0 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Como 63.5%, AS Roma 67.9%.
| Como | Per match | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.55 |
| 1.68 | xG conceded | 1.05 |
| 1.80 | Goals | 2.80 |
| 23.4 | Shots | 20.6 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target | 7.0 |
| 2.2 | Big chances missed | 2.4 |
| 63.5 | Pressure share % | 67.9 |
| 17.2 | Tackles | 20.6 |
| 7.8 | Fouls | 13.0 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Como won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Como | 2 – 1 | AS Roma |
| 15 Dec 2025 | AS Roma | 1 – 0 | Como |
| 2 Mar 2025 | AS Roma | 2 – 1 | Como |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Como | 2 – 0 | AS Roma |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
- Genoa vs Fiorentina Saturday 10 October 2026
- Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio Saturday 10 October 2026
- Napoli vs Frosinone Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lazio vs Monza Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lecce vs Bologna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs AC Milan Sunday 11 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.