Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Prediction, Odds and Preview
La Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Athletic Bilbao host Alaves in the La Liga on Saturday 19 September 2026.
Form in numbers
- Athletic Bilbao create more: 1.55 expected goals a match against 1.14 for Alaves.
- Alaves give away less, 1.23 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Athletic Bilbao 15.7 (4.7 on target), Alaves 12.4 (4.4 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Athletic Bilbao 62.9%, Alaves 44.8%.
| Athletic Bilbao | Per match | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 1.29 | xG conceded | 1.23 |
| 1.17 | Goals | 1.57 |
| 15.7 | Shots | 12.4 |
| 4.7 | Shots on target | 4.4 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| 62.9 | Pressure share % | 44.8 |
| 16.3 | Tackles | 19.0 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 13.4 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 7 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Athletic Bilbao won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 – 0 | Alaves |
| 2 May 2026 | Alaves | 2 – 4 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 – 1 | Alaves |
| 11 May 2025 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 – 0 | Alaves |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Alaves | 1 – 1 | Athletic Bilbao |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves in the Match Centre Follow it live
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