Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 18
Championship · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Ewood Park, Blackburn · updated 2026-11-14
Blackburn Rovers welcome Charlton Athletic to Ewood Park in Blackburn in Championship Gameweek 18 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Blackburn Rovers have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 8 matches, with a 83% win rate. Charlton Athletic have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Blackburn Rovers are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 27% and Charlton Athletic at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers 1.49, Charlton Athletic 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Blackburn Rovers: form and key numbers
In style Blackburn Rovers play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.3).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 47.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Charlton Athletic: form and key numbers
In style Charlton Athletic are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic: season averages side by side
| Blackburn Rovers | Per match this season | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.09 |
| 1.83 | xG conceded | 1.57 |
| 10.9 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 2.7 |
| 47.4 | Possession % | 43.3 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 73% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Blackburn Rovers
- Kristi Montgomery DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 42 · Ball-winner, Press-resistant (top 29% of his position)
- Sean McLoughlin CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 42 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 9% of his position)
Charlton Athletic
- Will Mannion GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 34 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 27% of his position)
- Lloyd Jones CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 33 · Dominant in the air, Hard to dribble past (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio, 24 · Charlton Athletic · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 45
Billy Koumetio, 24, plays as a centre-back for Charlton Athletic in the Championship. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and dribbled past. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.67 / 90 | 97% |
| Dribbled past | 0.11 / 90 | 84% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 1.44 / 90 | 81% |
| Clearances | 8.00 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Hard to dribble past, Duel winner.
- What Billy Koumetio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Billy Koumetio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic prediction
Blackburn Rovers should have more of the ball; Blackburn Rovers go long and direct; Charlton Athletic are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.49 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.09 for Charlton Athletic - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 52%. Blackburn Rovers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic: what the numbers say
- 1. Blackburn Rovers unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 52% by the model, 2.58 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
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- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic: questions and answers
When is Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 18.
Where is Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic played?
At Ewood Park, Blackburn, Blackburn Rovers's home ground.
Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Blackburn Rovers are the favourites: Blackburn Rovers 46%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 27%. Our prediction is Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Charlton Athletic.
Who is the player to watch in Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Billy Koumetio of Charlton Athletic: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 45 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.