Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 16
Championship · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton · updated 2026-11-13
Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Charlton Athletic to Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton in Championship Gameweek 16 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 53% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Charlton Athletic have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 23% and Charlton Athletic at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.91, Charlton Athletic 0.77.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 46%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Wolverhampton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Wolverhampton Wanderers keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 0.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 54.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Charlton Athletic: form and key numbers
In style Charlton Athletic are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: season averages side by side
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Per match this season | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.09 |
| 0.93 | xG conceded | 1.57 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 4.5 | On target | 2.7 |
| 54.6 | Possession % | 43.3 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 6.7 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Raúl Jiménez CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 57 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Dominant in the air (top 20% of his position)
- Rafiki Saïd LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Big-chance creator, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
Charlton Athletic
- Will Mannion GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 34 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 27% of his position)
- Lloyd Jones CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 33 · Dominant in the air, Hard to dribble past (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio, 23 · Charlton Athletic · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 45
Billy Koumetio, 23, plays as a centre-back for Charlton Athletic in the Championship. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.67 / 90 | 97% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Dribbled past | 0.11 / 90 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 1.44 / 90 | 81% |
| Clearances | 8.00 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Hard to dribble past.
- What Billy Koumetio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Billy Koumetio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers should have more of the ball, with Charlton Athletic likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Wolverhampton Wanderers work the ball wide and cross; Charlton Athletic are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.91 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 0.77 for Charlton Athletic - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 46%. Wolverhampton Wanderers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: what the numbers say
- 1. Wolverhampton Wanderers win, the likeliest result 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: questions and answers
When is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 16.
Where is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic played?
At Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton Wanderers's home ground.
Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Wolverhampton Wanderers are the favourites: Wolverhampton Wanderers 64%, draw 23%, Charlton Athletic 14%. Our prediction is Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Charlton Athletic.
Who is the player to watch in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Billy Koumetio of Charlton Athletic: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 45 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.