West Ham United vs Preston North End Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 16
Championship · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · London Stadium, London · updated 2026-11-13
West Ham United welcome Preston North End to London Stadium in London in Championship Gameweek 16 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
West Ham United have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Preston North End have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 7 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Ham United are clear favourites at 76%, with the draw at 15% and Preston North End at 10%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: West Ham United 2.85, Preston North End 0.97.
- Over 2.5 goals: 74% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
West Ham United: form and key numbers
In style West Ham United keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.19 a match created, 1.32 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.1).
- Shots: 17.3 a match, 6.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Preston North End: form and key numbers
In style Preston North End are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.73 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.0).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 2.4 on target.
- Possession: 39.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 7% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
West Ham United vs Preston North End: season averages side by side
| West Ham United | Per match this season | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 2.5 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.13 |
| 1.32 | xG conceded | 1.73 |
| 17.3 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 6.6 | On target | 2.4 |
| 57.9 | Possession % | 39.3 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 7% |
| 73% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 7.0 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 6.69 |
Players to watch
West Ham United
- Arne Engels CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 41 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 10% of his position)
- Oliver Scarles LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 37 · Crosser, Creator (top 19% of his position)
Preston North End
- Jordan Storey CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 42 · Reads the game, Dominant in the air (top 5% of his position)
- Liam Lindsay CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 40 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen, 29 · West Ham United · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 64
Jarrod Bowen, 29, plays as a winger for West Ham United in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.01 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.45 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.52 / 90 | 94% |
| Big chances created | 0.87 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 3.15 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Crosser, Creator, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Jarrod Bowen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jarrod Bowen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
West Ham United vs Preston North End prediction
West Ham United should have more of the ball, with Preston North End likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; West Ham United work the ball wide and cross; Preston North End are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.85 for West Ham United and 0.97 for Preston North End - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 59%. West Ham United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: West Ham United 3-1 Preston North End
West Ham United vs Preston North End: what the numbers say
- 1. West Ham United win, the likeliest result 76% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 53% by the model, 3.83 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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West Ham United vs Preston North End: questions and answers
When is West Ham United vs Preston North End?
West Ham United vs Preston North End is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 16.
Where is West Ham United vs Preston North End played?
At London Stadium, London, West Ham United's home ground.
Who will win West Ham United vs Preston North End?
West Ham United are the favourites: West Ham United 76%, draw 15%, Preston North End 10%. Our prediction is West Ham United 3-1 Preston North End.
Who is the player to watch in West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in West Ham United vs Preston North End?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.