Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Wednesday 25 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton · updated 2026-11-13
Bolton Wanderers welcome West Bromwich Albion to Toughsheet Community Stadium in Bolton in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Bolton Wanderers have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded over 7 matches, with a 40% win rate. West Bromwich Albion have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 53% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Bromwich Albion are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 24% and Bolton Wanderers at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers 1.31, West Bromwich Albion 1.84.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Bolton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Bolton Wanderers play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.44 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
West Bromwich Albion: form and key numbers
In style West Bromwich Albion keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.38 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion: season averages side by side
| Bolton Wanderers | Per match this season | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.98 | xG conceded | 1.38 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 13.1 |
| 4.7 | On target | 3.9 |
| 51.3 | Possession % | 55.5 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Bolton Wanderers
- Rúben Rodrigues AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 52 · Chance creator, Creator (top 11% of his position)
- Gavin Bazunu GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 28% of his position)
West Bromwich Albion
- Max O'Leary GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 45 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 28% of his position)
- Aune Heggebø CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 43 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Chris Forino
Chris Forino, 26 · Bolton Wanderers · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56
Chris Forino, 26, plays as a centre-back for Bolton Wanderers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in fouls committed and clearances. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls committed | 0.23 / 90 | 95% |
| Clearances | 8.80 / 90 | 85% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.95 / 90 | 84% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Interceptions | 2.37 / 90 | 82% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Disciplined, Box defender, Dominant in the air.
- What Chris Forino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Chris Forino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion prediction
West Bromwich Albion should have more of the ball; Bolton Wanderers are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.31 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.84 for West Bromwich Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 62%. West Bromwich Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion: what the numbers say
- 1. West Bromwich Albion unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 61% by the model, 3.14 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
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- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
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Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion: questions and answers
When is Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion is on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion played?
At Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton, Bolton Wanderers's home ground.
Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
West Bromwich Albion are the favourites: Bolton Wanderers 27%, draw 24%, West Bromwich Albion 49%. Our prediction is Bolton Wanderers 1-2 West Bromwich Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
Chris Forino of Bolton Wanderers: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 56 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.