Brest vs Angers: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Brest host Angers in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bookmakers make Brest narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Angers at 26%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Brest -0.5 at 1.95, Angers at 1.95. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Form in numbers
- Brest create more: 2.08 expected goals a match against 1.62 for Angers.
- Brest give away less, 1.16 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Brest 19.2 (5.8 on target), Angers 15.0 (3.0 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Brest 59.1%, Angers 47.9%.
| Brest | Per match | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 1.40 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 3.0 |
| 2.6 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 59.1 | Pressure share % | 47.9 |
| 19.4 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 15.0 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Brest won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Brest | 1 – 1 | Angers |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Angers | 0 – 2 | Brest |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Brest | 2 – 0 | Angers |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Angers | 2 – 0 | Brest |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Lens vs Lyon Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lille vs Le Havre Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lorient vs Paris FC Sunday 11 October 2026
- AS Monaco vs Toulouse Sunday 11 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Sunday 11 October 2026
- Nice vs Strasbourg Sunday 11 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.