Nice vs Strasbourg: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Nice host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Nice 41%, the draw 27%, Strasbourg 31% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Nice -0.25 at 2.00, Strasbourg at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Form in numbers
- Strasbourg create more: 1.31 expected goals a match against 0.97 for Nice.
- Nice give away less, 1.47 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Nice 11.8 (3.0 on target), Strasbourg 11.6 (4.8 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Nice 57.0%, Strasbourg 36.7%.
| Nice | Per match | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 1.47 | xG conceded | 2.09 |
| 0.60 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 11.8 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 3.0 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 57.0 | Pressure share % | 36.7 |
| 14.4 | Tackles | 15.8 |
| 9.8 | Fouls | 11.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Nice won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Strasbourg | 3 – 1 | Nice |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nice | 1 – 1 | Strasbourg |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 – 2 | Nice |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Nice | 2 – 1 | Strasbourg |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Lens vs Lyon Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lille vs Le Havre Saturday 10 October 2026
- Brest vs Angers Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lorient vs Paris FC Sunday 11 October 2026
- AS Monaco vs Toulouse Sunday 11 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Sunday 11 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.