Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Premier League · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Brighton & Hove Albion host Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September 2026.
Form in numbers
- Brighton & Hove Albion create more: 2.18 expected goals a match against 1.79 for Arsenal.
- Arsenal give away less, 0.92 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Brighton & Hove Albion 19.0 (5.8 on target), Arsenal 12.8 (4.8 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Brighton & Hove Albion 72.4%, Arsenal 65.8%.
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Per match | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.79 |
| 1.74 | xG conceded | 0.92 |
| 3.20 | Goals | 1.60 |
| 19.0 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 2.8 | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| 72.4 | Pressure share % | 65.8 |
| 12.8 | Tackles | 11.6 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 – 0 | Arsenal |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 – 1 | Arsenal |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2 – 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 – 1 | Arsenal |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Arsenal | 1 – 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.