Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Premier League · Saturday 10 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Sunderland host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Sunderland 33%, the draw 28%, Brighton & Hove Albion 39% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Sunderland 0 at 2.11, Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.80. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.90, under 1.98, which gives over 51%.
Form in numbers
- Brighton & Hove Albion create more: 2.18 expected goals a match against 1.86 for Sunderland.
- Sunderland give away less, 1.60 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Sunderland 13.2 (5.0 on target), Brighton & Hove Albion 19.0 (5.8 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Sunderland 48.9%, Brighton & Hove Albion 72.4%.
| Sunderland | Per match | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.18 |
| 1.60 | xG conceded | 1.74 |
| 1.20 | Goals | 3.20 |
| 13.2 | Shots | 19.0 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 3.0 | Big chances missed | 2.8 |
| 48.9 | Pressure share % | 72.4 |
| 15.6 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 13.0 | Fouls | 12.8 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Sunderland won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Sunderland | 0 – 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 – 0 | Sunderland |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.