Cagliari vs Juventus: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Serie A · Monday 12 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Cagliari host Juventus in the Serie A on Monday 12 October 2026. The bookmakers make Juventus narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 24% and Cagliari at 16%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Cagliari +0.75 at 2.17, Juventus at 1.75. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.83, under 2.05, which gives over 53%.
Form in numbers
- Juventus create more: 1.52 expected goals a match against 0.95 for Cagliari.
- Juventus give away less, 0.61 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Cagliari 10.8 (4.2 on target), Juventus 17.6 (5.8 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Cagliari 34.1%, Juventus 73.3%.
| Cagliari | Per match | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 1.73 | xG conceded | 0.61 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 1.60 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 17.6 |
| 4.2 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 0.8 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 34.1 | Pressure share % | 73.3 |
| 14.8 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 10.2 | Fouls | 14.8 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Cagliari won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 1 – 0 | Juventus |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Juventus | 2 – 1 | Cagliari |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Cagliari | 0 – 1 | Juventus |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Juventus | 1 – 1 | Cagliari |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Cagliari vs Juventus in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Serie A previews
- Genoa vs Fiorentina Saturday 10 October 2026
- Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio Saturday 10 October 2026
- Napoli vs Frosinone Sunday 11 October 2026
- Como vs AS Roma Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lazio vs Monza Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lecce vs Bologna Sunday 11 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.