Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge · updated 2026-11-14
Cercle Brugge welcome Mechelen to Jan Breydelstadion in Brugge in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:15 UTC.
Cercle Brugge have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Mechelen have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Cercle Brugge are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 25% and Mechelen at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Cercle Brugge 1.64, Mechelen 1.32.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Cercle Brugge: form and key numbers
In style Cercle Brugge are happy without the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 41.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Mechelen: form and key numbers
In style Mechelen play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen: season averages side by side
| Cercle Brugge | Per match this season | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 1.58 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 4.2 | On target | 3.3 |
| 41.7 | Possession % | 48.7 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Cercle Brugge
- Steve Ngoura CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 62 · Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 23% of his position)
- Royer Caicedo CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 13% of his position)
Mechelen
- Mike Eerdhuijzen CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Luc Marijnissen CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 49 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée, 27 · Cercle Brugge · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 69
Gary Magnée, 27, plays as a wing-back for Cercle Brugge in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 69
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 69
- RB · Full-back Natural, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 3.19 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 3.30 / 90 | 97% |
| Interceptions | 2.06 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.28 / 90 | 80% |
| Tackles | 2.37 / 90 | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Reads the game.
- What Gary Magnée is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gary Magnée's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen prediction
Mechelen should have more of the ball, with Cercle Brugge likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Cercle Brugge work the ball wide and cross; Mechelen are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.64 for Cercle Brugge and 1.32 for Mechelen - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%. Cercle Brugge have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Cercle Brugge 2-1 Mechelen
Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen: what the numbers say
- 1. Cercle Brugge unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.96 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.1 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen: questions and answers
When is Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?
Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:15 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen played?
At Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge, Cercle Brugge's home ground.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?
Cercle Brugge are the favourites: Cercle Brugge 44%, draw 25%, Mechelen 30%. Our prediction is Cercle Brugge 2-1 Mechelen.
Who is the player to watch in Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?
Gary Magnée of Cercle Brugge: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.