Lommel SK vs Standard Liège Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Soevereinstadion, Lommel · updated 2026-11-13
Lommel SK welcome Standard Liège to Soevereinstadion in Lommel in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Lommel SK have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Standard Liège have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Lommel SK 38%, the draw 25%, Standard Liège 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lommel SK 1.54, Standard Liège 1.53.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Lommel SK: form and key numbers
In style Lommel SK play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.22 a match created, 1.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.6).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 47.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Standard Liège: form and key numbers
In style Standard Liège press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.7).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Lommel SK vs Standard Liège: season averages side by side
| Lommel SK | Per match this season | Standard Liège |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.22 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| 1.93 | xG conceded | 1.83 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 3.5 | On target | 4.8 |
| 47.2 | Possession % | 52.1 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Lommel SK
- Shawn Adewoye CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 7% of his position)
- Matthias Pieklak GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 58 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 35% of his position)
Standard Liège
- Marlon Fossey RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 8% of his position)
- Matthieu Epolo GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 52 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa, 29 · Standard Liège · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 68
Dennis Eckert Ayensa, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Standard Liège in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 68
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 59
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 97% |
| Shots on target | 58% | 93% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.68 / 90 | 78% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.10 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected goals | 0.64 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter.
- What Dennis Eckert Ayensa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Dennis Eckert Ayensa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lommel SK vs Standard Liège prediction
Standard Liège should have more of the ball, with Lommel SK likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Lommel SK like to take players on; Standard Liège are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.54 for Lommel SK and 1.53 for Standard Liège - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Lommel SK 1-1 Standard Liège
Lommel SK vs Standard Liège: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 3 or more goals 59% by the model, 3.07 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Lommel SK vs Standard Liège: questions and answers
When is Lommel SK vs Standard Liège?
Lommel SK vs Standard Liège is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Lommel SK vs Standard Liège played?
At Soevereinstadion, Lommel, Lommel SK's home ground.
Who will win Lommel SK vs Standard Liège?
It is close: Lommel SK 38%, draw 25%, Standard Liège 37%. Our prediction is Lommel SK 1-1 Standard Liège.
Who is the player to watch in Lommel SK vs Standard Liège?
Dennis Eckert Ayensa of Standard Liège: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lommel SK vs Standard Liège?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.