Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The Valley, London · updated 2026-11-13
Charlton Athletic welcome Lincoln City to The Valley in London in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Charlton Athletic have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 8 matches, with a 75% win rate. Lincoln City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 8 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Charlton Athletic 39%, the draw 28%, Lincoln City 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Charlton Athletic 1.32, Lincoln City 1.20.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Charlton Athletic: form and key numbers
In style Charlton Athletic are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Lincoln City: form and key numbers
In style Lincoln City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.42 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 37.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (75% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City: season averages side by side
| Charlton Athletic | Per match this season | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.42 |
| 1.57 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 2.7 | On target | 3.1 |
| 43.3 | Possession % | 37.0 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 53% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Charlton Athletic
- Will Mannion GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 34 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 27% of his position)
- Lloyd Jones CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 33 · Dominant in the air, Hard to dribble past (top 14% of his position)
Lincoln City
- Mikkel Ladefoged CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 58 · Dominant in the air, Chance creator (top 5% of his position)
- Callum Elder LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 42 · Crosser, Creator (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio, 23 · Charlton Athletic · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 45
Billy Koumetio, 23, plays as a centre-back for Charlton Athletic in the Championship. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.67 / 90 | 97% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Dribbled past | 0.11 / 90 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 1.44 / 90 | 81% |
| Clearances | 8.00 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Hard to dribble past.
- What Billy Koumetio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Billy Koumetio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City prediction
Charlton Athletic should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.32 for Charlton Athletic and 1.20 for Lincoln City - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 54% by the model, 2.51 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
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- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City: questions and answers
When is Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City played?
At The Valley, London, Charlton Athletic's home ground.
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
It is close: Charlton Athletic 39%, draw 28%, Lincoln City 33%. Our prediction is Charlton Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City.
Who is the player to watch in Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Billy Koumetio of Charlton Athletic: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 45 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.