Club Brugge vs Liverpool Prediction and Stats | Champions League Gameweek 5
Champions League · Wednesday 25 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge · updated 2026-11-13
Club Brugge welcome Liverpool to Jan Breydelstadion in Brugge in Champions League Gameweek 5 action on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Club Brugge have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate. Liverpool have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 3.5 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 75% of them. Away from home they average 4.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Liverpool are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 23% and Club Brugge at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Club Brugge 1.48, Liverpool 1.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 66% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Club Brugge: form and key numbers
In style Club Brugge keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.20 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.2).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 51.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.98.
Liverpool: form and key numbers
In style Liverpool keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.16 a match created (goals minus xG: +5.3).
- Shots: 21.0 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 57.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 9.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Club Brugge vs Liverpool: season averages side by side
| Club Brugge | Per match this season | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.8 | Goals scored | 3.5 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 2.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.16 |
| 13.3 | Shots | 21.0 |
| 5.8 | On target | 6.8 |
| 51.5 | Possession % | 57.5 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 3.5 | Corners | 9.3 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 0.5 |
| 6.98 | Average rating | 6.99 |
Players to watch
Club Brugge
- Romeo Vermant CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 82 · Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 3% of his position)
- Mamadou Diakhon LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 77 · Draws fouls, Crosser (top 2% of his position)
Liverpool
- Cody Gakpo LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 73 · Chance creator, Creator (top 5% of his position)
- Dominik Szoboszlai AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 67 · Creator, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò Tresoldi, 22 · Club Brugge · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 77
Nicolò Tresoldi, 22, plays as a centre-forward for Club Brugge in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 77
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.91 / 90 | 97% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.89 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 3.64 / 90 | 84% |
| Duels won | 4.79 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Target man Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Nicolò Tresoldi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nicolò Tresoldi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Club Brugge vs Liverpool prediction
Club Brugge should have more of the ball; Club Brugge work the ball wide and cross; Liverpool are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.48 for Club Brugge and 1.91 for Liverpool - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 66%. Liverpool have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Club Brugge 1-2 Liverpool
Club Brugge vs Liverpool: what the numbers say
- 1. Liverpool unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 66% by the model, 3.39 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Club Brugge vs Liverpool: questions and answers
When is Club Brugge vs Liverpool?
Club Brugge vs Liverpool is on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 5.
Where is Club Brugge vs Liverpool played?
At Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge, Club Brugge's home ground.
Who will win Club Brugge vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are the favourites: Club Brugge 29%, draw 23%, Liverpool 47%. Our prediction is Club Brugge 1-2 Liverpool.
Who is the player to watch in Club Brugge vs Liverpool?
Nicolò Tresoldi of Club Brugge: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Club Brugge vs Liverpool?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.