Feyenoord vs Porto Prediction and Stats | Champions League Gameweek 5
Champions League · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-11-13
Feyenoord welcome Porto to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Champions League Gameweek 5 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Porto have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Feyenoord 35%, the draw 25%, Porto 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.50, Porto 1.59.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
In style Feyenoord keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.79 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Porto: form and key numbers
In style Porto keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 42.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Feyenoord vs Porto: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 2.8 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 0.79 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.46 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 2.8 | On target | 4.3 |
| 45.5 | Possession % | 42.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.5 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.67 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Feyenoord
- Ayase Ueda CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 67 · Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 8% of his position)
- Oussama Targhalline CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65 · Reads the game, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
Porto
- Gabri Veiga AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 59 · Press-resistant, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
- Diogo Costa GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 58 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jan Bednarek
Jan Bednarek, 30 · Porto · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 75
Jan Bednarek, 30, plays as a centre-back for Porto in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and interceptions. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 75
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 100% |
| Interceptions | 2.29 / 90 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 92% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.18 / 90 | 92% |
| Clearances | 6.67 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Reads the game, Secure passer.
- What Jan Bednarek is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jan Bednarek's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Porto prediction
Porto should have more of the ball; Feyenoord like to take players on; Porto are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.50 for Feyenoord and 1.59 for Porto - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Feyenoord 1-1 Porto
Feyenoord vs Porto: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 3 or more goals 60% by the model, 3.09 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 6.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Champions League previews
- Galatasaray vs Aston Villa Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Bodø / Glimt vs LASK Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Real Madrid vs PSV Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Manchester City vs Napoli Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Como vs AEK Athens Tuesday 24 November 2026
- Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis Tuesday 24 November 2026
- RB Leipzig vs Lens Tuesday 24 November 2026
Feyenoord vs Porto: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Porto?
Feyenoord vs Porto is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 5.
Where is Feyenoord vs Porto played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Porto?
It is close: Feyenoord 35%, draw 25%, Porto 39%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 1-1 Porto.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Porto?
Jan Bednarek of Porto: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Porto?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.