Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 13
Süper Lig · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Dr. Turhan Kılıçcıoğlu Stadyumu, Çorum · updated 2026-11-15
Çorum FK welcome Kocaelispor to Dr. Turhan Kılıçcıoğlu Stadyumu in Çorum in Süper Lig Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Çorum FK have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 45% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 40% win rate. Kocaelispor have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 55% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Çorum FK are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Kocaelispor at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Çorum FK 1.47, Kocaelispor 1.21.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Çorum FK: form and key numbers
In style Çorum FK play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 1.33 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.6).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Kocaelispor: form and key numbers
In style Kocaelispor play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (20% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor: season averages side by side
| Çorum FK | Per match this season | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.17 |
| 1.33 | xG conceded | 1.56 |
| 13.0 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.2 | On target | 4.5 |
| 51.8 | Possession % | 48.9 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 45% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Çorum FK
- Berat Özdemir DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 44 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 15% of his position)
- Çağlar Söyüncü CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 29% of his position)
Kocaelispor
- Emir Ortakaya CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 44 · Dominant in the air, Reads the game (top 17% of his position)
- Serhat Öztaşdelen GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 40 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 49% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexandros Kyziridis
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26 · Çorum FK · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26, plays as a winger for Çorum FK in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 47
- LW · Winger Natural, 47
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.18 / 90 | 81% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.36 / 90 | 67% |
| Big chances created | 0.49 / 90 | 65% |
| Dispossessed | 0.86 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator.
- What Alexandros Kyziridis is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexandros Kyziridis's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor prediction
Çorum FK should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.47 for Çorum FK and 1.21 for Kocaelispor - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Çorum FK have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor
Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor: what the numbers say
- 1. Çorum FK unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.69 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Saturday 21 November 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026
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Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor: questions and answers
When is Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 13.
Where is Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor played?
At Dr. Turhan Kılıçcıoğlu Stadyumu, Çorum, Çorum FK's home ground.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
Çorum FK are the favourites: Çorum FK 42%, draw 27%, Kocaelispor 30%. Our prediction is Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor.
Who is the player to watch in Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
Alexandros Kyziridis of Çorum FK: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 47 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.