Coventry City vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Premier League · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Coventry City host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Tuesday 13 October 2026. The bookmakers make Newcastle United narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Coventry City at 29%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Coventry City +0.25 at 2.04, Newcastle United at 1.86. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.86, under 2.02, which gives over 52%.
Form in numbers
- Newcastle United create more: 1.03 expected goals a match against 0.84 for Coventry City.
- Coventry City give away less, 1.70 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Coventry City 10.2 (3.2 on target), Newcastle United 10.0 (3.6 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Coventry City 36.3%, Newcastle United 41.3%.
| Coventry City | Per match | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.03 |
| 1.70 | xG conceded | 1.98 |
| 0.20 | Goals | 1.80 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 3.2 | Shots on target | 3.6 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 36.3 | Pressure share % | 41.3 |
| 9.0 | Tackles | 13.8 |
| 12.0 | Fouls | 12.2 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Coventry City vs Newcastle United in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.