CSKA Moskva vs Zenit Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Russian Premier League · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC · VEB Arena, Moskva · updated 2026-11-14
CSKA Moskva welcome Zenit to VEB Arena in Moskva in Russian Premier League Gameweek 16 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
CSKA Moskva have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 8 matches, with a 71% win rate. Zenit have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 71% of them. Away from home they average 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 7 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Zenit are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 24% and CSKA Moskva at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: CSKA Moskva 1.48, Zenit 1.74.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
CSKA Moskva: form and key numbers
In style CSKA Moskva play long and direct, cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 16.6 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (80% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Zenit: form and key numbers
In style Zenit keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.87 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.9).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
CSKA Moskva vs Zenit: season averages side by side
| CSKA Moskva | Per match this season | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.87 |
| 1.54 | xG conceded | 1.03 |
| 16.6 | Shots | 15.6 |
| 5.6 | On target | 6.0 |
| 51.6 | Possession % | 58.8 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
CSKA Moskva
- Vladislav Torop GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 30 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 29% of his position)
- Maksim Borisko GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 27 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 20% of his position)
Zenit
- Aleksandr Sobolev CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 41 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Douglas Santos LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 26 · Chance creator, Hard to dribble past (top 29% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov, 27 · Zenit · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 48
Maksim Glushenkov, 27, plays as a second striker for Zenit in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in shots and goals, luck taken out. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 48
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 40
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.25 / 90 | 97% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.58 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 79% |
| Fouls won | 2.33 / 90 | 79% |
| Key passes | 2.25 / 90 | 50% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
⚠ 10 goals from only 5.8 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Maksim Glushenkov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maksim Glushenkov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
CSKA Moskva vs Zenit prediction
Zenit should have more of the ball; CSKA Moskva work the ball wide and cross; Zenit go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.48 for CSKA Moskva and 1.74 for Zenit - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%. Zenit have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: CSKA Moskva 1-2 Zenit
CSKA Moskva vs Zenit: what the numbers say
- 1. Zenit unbeaten (win or draw) 68% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 62% by the model, 3.21 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Friday 20 November 2026
- Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026
- Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026
- CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
CSKA Moskva vs Zenit: questions and answers
When is CSKA Moskva vs Zenit?
CSKA Moskva vs Zenit is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 16.
Where is CSKA Moskva vs Zenit played?
At VEB Arena, Moskva, CSKA Moskva's home ground.
Who will win CSKA Moskva vs Zenit?
Zenit are the favourites: CSKA Moskva 32%, draw 24%, Zenit 43%. Our prediction is CSKA Moskva 1-2 Zenit.
Who is the player to watch in CSKA Moskva vs Zenit?
Maksim Glushenkov of Zenit: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moskva vs Zenit?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.