Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante: Prediction, Stats and Preview
La Liga · Friday 16 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña · updated 2026-10-09
Deportivo A Coruña host Levante in La Liga on Friday 16 October 2026 at Estadio Abanca-Riazor. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Deportivo A Coruña favourites at 53%, puts the draw at 25% and expects about 2.8 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña 1.77, Levante 1.07.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz, 25 · Deportivo A Coruña · RWF · Classic winger
Moneyball Scout picks Luismi Cruz as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 61, defensive 62).
- Key passes: 3.16 per 90 minutes, better than 93% of wingers
- Accurate crosses: 1.35 per 90 minutes, better than 79% of wingers
- Expected assists (est.): 0.28 per 90 minutes, better than 75% of wingers
Levante concede 2.0 goals a match this season (1.92 expected), more than the league's average: the space a classic winger like Luismi Cruz lives on.
Scout's notes: Chance creator.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Deportivo A Coruña | Per match this season | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.22 |
| 1.22 | xG conceded | 1.92 |
| 10.1 | Shots | 10.7 |
| 3.9 | On target | 3.7 |
| 46.6 | Possession % | 40.0 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 86% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.0 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.70 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Deportivo A Coruña
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang forward · rating 7.43 · 7 apps
- Mario Soriano midfielder · rating 7.06 · 7 apps
- Luismi Cruz forward · rating 6.99 · 7 apps
Levante
- Mathew Ryan goalkeeper · rating 7.10 · 6 apps
- Roger Brugué forward · rating 7.05 · 5 apps
- Jon Ander Olasagasti midfielder · rating 6.92 · 6 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Málaga vs Espanyol Friday 9 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Getafe Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Osasuna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Valencia Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Sevilla Monday 12 October 2026
- Espanyol vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 17 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Elche Saturday 17 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.