FC Barcelona vs Getafe: Prediction, Stats and Preview
La Liga · Saturday 10 October 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · updated 2026-10-09
FC Barcelona host Getafe in La Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Spotify Camp Nou. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes FC Barcelona clear favourites at 82%, puts the draw at 12% and expects about 3.7 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: FC Barcelona 2.96, Getafe 0.73.
- Over 2.5 goals: 71% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal, 19 · FC Barcelona · RWF · Inside forward
Moneyball Scout picks Lamine Yamal as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 88 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 99, defensive 17).
- Successful dribbles: 4.49 per 90 minutes, better than 99% of wingers
- Expected goals: 0.86 per 90 minutes, better than 99% of wingers
- Expected assists (est.): 0.67 per 90 minutes, better than 99% of wingers
Getafe concede only 1.0 goals a match this season (1.37 expected): breaking that defence is the job of a inside forward like Lamine Yamal.
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions, Creator.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| FC Barcelona | Per match this season | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 4.4 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 3.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| 0.99 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 21.4 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 8.3 | On target | 2.7 |
| 68.4 | Possession % | 40.3 |
| 43% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 29% |
| 7.4 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 3.3 |
| 7.21 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
FC Barcelona
- Lamine Yamal forward · rating 8.64 · 7 apps
- Raphinha forward · rating 8.60 · 7 apps
- Fermín López midfielder · rating 7.60 · 6 apps
Getafe
- Ramón Terrats midfielder · rating 7.38 · 6 apps
- David Soria goalkeeper · rating 7.18 · 7 apps
- Iván Azón midfielder · rating 6.97 · 4 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Málaga vs Espanyol Friday 9 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Osasuna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Valencia Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Sevilla Monday 12 October 2026
- Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante Friday 16 October 2026
- Espanyol vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 17 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Elche Saturday 17 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.