Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 13
Süper Lig · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul · updated 2026-11-15
Eyüpspor welcome İstanbul Başakşehir to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Eyüpspor have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 9% of them. At home they average 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. İstanbul Başakşehir have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, İstanbul Başakşehir are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 21% and Eyüpspor at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Eyüpspor 0.86, İstanbul Başakşehir 2.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Eyüpspor: form and key numbers
In style Eyüpspor play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.74 a match created, 1.86 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.2).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 18% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.54.
İstanbul Başakşehir: form and key numbers
In style İstanbul Başakşehir play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 50.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: season averages side by side
| Eyüpspor | Per match this season | İstanbul Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.3 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 2.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 0.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 1.86 | xG conceded | 1.52 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 13.4 |
| 3.5 | On target | 4.6 |
| 49.6 | Possession % | 50.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 18% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.54 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
Eyüpspor
- Emre Bilgin GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 40% of his position)
- Taşkın İlter DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 40 · Disciplined, Secure passer (top 15% of his position)
İstanbul Başakşehir
- Davie Selke CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 44 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 7% of his position)
- Deniz Dilmen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 41 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 20% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ivan Brnic
Ivan Brnic, 25 · İstanbul Başakşehir · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44
Ivan Brnic, 25, plays as a winger for İstanbul Başakşehir in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in big chances created and dispossessed. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 44
- LW · Winger Natural, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.13 / 90 | 94% |
| Dispossessed | 0.38 / 90 | 84% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.43 / 90 | 83% |
| Shots | 3.77 / 90 | 67% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.13 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Press-resistant, Creator.
- What Ivan Brnic is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ivan Brnic's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction
İstanbul Başakşehir should have more of the ball; Eyüpspor like to take players on; İstanbul Başakşehir go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 0.86 for Eyüpspor and 2.09 for İstanbul Başakşehir - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 51%. İstanbul Başakşehir have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Eyüpspor 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir
Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: what the numbers say
- 1. İstanbul Başakşehir win, the likeliest result 65% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.95 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Süper Lig previews
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- Amed SK vs Rizespor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Saturday 21 November 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026
Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: questions and answers
When is Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 13.
Where is Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir played?
At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul, Eyüpspor's home ground.
Who will win Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
İstanbul Başakşehir are the favourites: Eyüpspor 14%, draw 21%, İstanbul Başakşehir 65%. Our prediction is Eyüpspor 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir.
Who is the player to watch in Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Ivan Brnic of İstanbul Başakşehir: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Eyüpspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.