Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Eredivisie · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 15:45 UTC · De Adelaarshorst, Deventer · updated 2026-11-13
Go Ahead Eagles welcome Fortuna Sittard to De Adelaarshorst in Deventer in Eredivisie Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:45 UTC.
Go Ahead Eagles have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate. Fortuna Sittard have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 42% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Go Ahead Eagles are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 23% and Fortuna Sittard at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 1.99, Fortuna Sittard 1.35.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Go Ahead Eagles: form and key numbers
In style Go Ahead Eagles keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.7).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Fortuna Sittard: form and key numbers
In style Fortuna Sittard are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.3).
- Shots: 9.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 36.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: season averages side by side
| Go Ahead Eagles | Per match this season | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 1.68 | xG conceded | 2.12 |
| 14.4 | Shots | 9.9 |
| 5.5 | On target | 4.3 |
| 53.5 | Possession % | 36.7 |
| 8% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 2.7 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Go Ahead Eagles
- Melle Meulensteen CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 37 · Press-resistant, Dribbler (top 15% of his position)
- Thibo Baeten LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 36 · Dribbler, Crosser (top 25% of his position)
Fortuna Sittard
- Mattijs Branderhorst GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 41 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 40% of his position)
- Rodrigo Guth CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 32 · Box defender, Hard to dribble past (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson, 25 · Go Ahead Eagles · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 43
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson, 25, plays as a centre-forward for Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 43
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.43 / 90 | 82% |
| Expected goals | 0.67 / 90 | 66% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 xG/shot | 65% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.64 / 90 | 63% |
| Shots | 4.03 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air.
- What Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
Go Ahead Eagles should have more of the ball, with Fortuna Sittard likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Go Ahead Eagles work the ball wide and cross; Fortuna Sittard go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.99 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.35 for Fortuna Sittard - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 65%. Go Ahead Eagles have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: what the numbers say
- 1. Go Ahead Eagles unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.34 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: questions and answers
When is Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 13.
Where is Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard played?
At De Adelaarshorst, Deventer, Go Ahead Eagles's home ground.
Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Go Ahead Eagles are the favourites: Go Ahead Eagles 52%, draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 25%. Our prediction is Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Fortuna Sittard.
Who is the player to watch in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson of Go Ahead Eagles: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.