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Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: Prediction, Stats and Preview

Fenerbahçe host Slavia Praha in the Champions League on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Fenerbahçe clear favourites at 64%, puts the draw at 22% and expects about 2.8 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

Fenerbahçe64%fair odds 1.56
Draw22%fair odds 4.59
Slavia Praha14%fair odds 7.02

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 1 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

FenerbahçePer match this seasonSlavia Praha
7Matches1
1.3Goals scored2.0
0.6Goals conceded3.0
1.76Expected goals (xG)1.76
13.7Shots18.0
5.9On target5.0
55.4Possession %37.0
43%Clean sheets %0%
57%Both teams scored %100%
5.3Corners6.0
2.4Yellow cards–
6.98Average rating6.74

Averages per match from Sportmonks.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.