Viking vs FC Bayern München: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Champions League · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger · updated 2026-10-09
Viking host FC Bayern München in the Champions League on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at SR-Bank Arena. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes FC Bayern München clear favourites at 64%, puts the draw at 19% and expects about 3.5 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Viking 1.14, FC Bayern München 2.39.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Michael Olise
Michael Olise, 24 · FC Bayern München · RWF · Inside forward
Moneyball Scout picks Michael Olise as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 89 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 89, defensive 53).
- Expected assists (est.): 0.46 per 90 minutes, better than 95% of wingers
- Shots: 5.05 per 90 minutes, better than 95% of wingers
- Accurate crosses: 2.08 per 90 minutes, better than 94% of wingers
Viking concede 2.0 goals a match this season, more than the league's average: the space a inside forward like Michael Olise lives on.
Scout's notes: Creator, High shot volume, Crosser.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Viking | Per match this season | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 3.5 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.51 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.69 |
| 9.3 | Shots | 21.8 |
| 4.7 | On target | 8.8 |
| 38.3 | Possession % | 70.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 9.5 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 7.25 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; FC Bayern München in its domestic league.
Players to watch
FC Bayern München
- Michael Olise midfielder · rating 8.40 · 4 apps
- Joshua Kimmich midfielder · rating 8.02 · 4 apps
- Harry Kane forward · rating 7.76 · 4 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Champions League previews
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- Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Arsenal vs LOSC Lille Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Inter vs Club Brugge Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Napoli Tuesday 13 October 2026
- RB Leipzig vs PSV Tuesday 13 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.