Feyenoord vs Ajax Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Eredivisie · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-11-15
Feyenoord welcome Ajax to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Eredivisie Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 29% win rate. Ajax have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 3.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 71% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Feyenoord are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 22% and Ajax at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 2.17, Ajax 1.59.
- Over 2.5 goals: 72% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
In style Feyenoord keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.54 a match created, 1.17 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.5).
- Shots: 19.2 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.04.
Ajax: form and key numbers
In style Ajax keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.24 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.1).
- Shots: 19.8 a match, 6.6 on target.
- Possession: 59.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Feyenoord vs Ajax: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 3.0 | Goals scored | 2.7 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 2.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.24 |
| 1.17 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 19.8 |
| 7.8 | On target | 6.6 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 59.4 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 7.04 | Average rating | 7.03 |
Players to watch
Feyenoord
- Anis Hadj Moussa RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
- Ayase Ueda CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 58 · Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 8% of his position)
Ajax
- Tolu Arokodare CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 52 · High shot volume, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 12% of his position)
- Oscar Gloukh AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Oussama Targhalline
Oussama Targhalline, 24 · Feyenoord · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65
Oussama Targhalline, 24, plays as a central midfielder for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in interceptions and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 65
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 1.78 / 90 | 95% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.76 / 90 | 93% |
| Tackles | 2.29 / 90 | 84% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 82% |
| Passes | 61.06 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Dribbler, Ball-winner.
- What Oussama Targhalline is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Oussama Targhalline's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction
Ajax should have more of the ball; Feyenoord like to take players on; Ajax work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.17 for Feyenoord and 1.59 for Ajax - with over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 71%. Feyenoord have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Feyenoord 3-1 Ajax
Feyenoord vs Ajax: what the numbers say
- 1. Feyenoord unbeaten (win or draw) 72% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 52% by the model, 3.75 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Eredivisie previews
- NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026
- Feyenoord vs Excelsior Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Saturday 21 November 2026
- Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Sunday 22 November 2026
Feyenoord vs Ajax: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Feyenoord vs Ajax is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 14.
Where is Feyenoord vs Ajax played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Feyenoord are the favourites: Feyenoord 51%, draw 22%, Ajax 28%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 3-1 Ajax.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Oussama Targhalline of Feyenoord: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.