Feyenoord vs Como: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-10-09
Feyenoord host Como in the Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Stadion Feijenoord. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Como favourites at 56%, puts the draw at 21% and expects about 3.7 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.42, Como 2.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 71% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (1 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Assane Diao
Assane Diao, 21 · Como · LWF · Creative winger
Moneyball Scout picks Assane Diao as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 74, defensive 51).
- Key passes: 3.46 per 90 minutes, better than 95% of wingers
- Expected assists (est.): 0.38 per 90 minutes, better than 89% of wingers
- Successful dribbles: 2.93 per 90 minutes, better than 88% of wingers
Feyenoord concede 5.0 goals a match this season, more than the league's average: the space a creative winger like Assane Diao lives on.
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Dribbler.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 5.0 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 0.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.90 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.68 |
| 4.0 | Shots | 23.4 |
| 2.0 | On target | 7.2 |
| 28.0 | Possession % | 61.6 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 1.0 | Corners | 8.0 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 6.33 | Average rating | 7.02 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Como in its domestic league.
Players to watch
Como
- Nico Paz midfielder · rating 7.67 · 5 apps
- Assane Diao midfielder · rating 7.43 · 5 apps
- Lucas Da Cunha midfielder · rating 7.19 · 5 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Champions League previews
- Sabah vs Slavia Praha Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Lens vs Sporting CP Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Arsenal vs LOSC Lille Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Viking vs FC Bayern München Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Inter vs Club Brugge Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Napoli Tuesday 13 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.