Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Eredivisie · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard · updated 2026-11-15
Fortuna Sittard welcome SC Heerenveen to Fortuna Sittard Stadion in Sittard in Eredivisie Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Fortuna Sittard have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 40% win rate. SC Heerenveen have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, SC Heerenveen are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 25% and Fortuna Sittard at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fortuna Sittard 1.34, SC Heerenveen 1.65.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Fortuna Sittard: form and key numbers
In style Fortuna Sittard are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.3).
- Shots: 9.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 36.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
SC Heerenveen: form and key numbers
In style SC Heerenveen play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.64 a match created, 1.65 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.3).
- Shots: 14.9 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 50.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (20% away).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen: season averages side by side
| Fortuna Sittard | Per match this season | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 |
| 2.12 | xG conceded | 1.65 |
| 9.9 | Shots | 14.9 |
| 4.3 | On target | 5.8 |
| 36.7 | Possession % | 50.8 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 42% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 42% |
| 2.7 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Fortuna Sittard
- Mattijs Branderhorst GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 41 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 40% of his position)
- Rodrigo Guth CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Box defender, Hard to dribble past (top 9% of his position)
SC Heerenveen
- Ringo Meerveld AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 35 · Big-chance creator, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
- Dirk Proper DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 34 · Blocks shots, Secure passer (top 18% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Levi Smans
Levi Smans, 23 · SC Heerenveen · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 40
Levi Smans, 23, plays as an attacking midfielder for SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 40
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 34
- CM · Central midfielder Competent, 20
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.56 / 90 | 72% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.39 / 90 | 72% |
| Big chances created | 0.53 / 90 | 61% |
| Fouls won | 1.96 / 90 | 47% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.42 / 90 | 44% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★½ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
- What Levi Smans is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Levi Smans's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen prediction
SC Heerenveen should have more of the ball, with Fortuna Sittard likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.34 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.65 for SC Heerenveen - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%. SC Heerenveen have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Fortuna Sittard 1-2 SC Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen: what the numbers say
- 1. SC Heerenveen unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.99 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen: questions and answers
When is Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen?
Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 14.
Where is Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen played?
At Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard, Fortuna Sittard's home ground.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen?
SC Heerenveen are the favourites: Fortuna Sittard 30%, draw 25%, SC Heerenveen 44%. Our prediction is Fortuna Sittard 1-2 SC Heerenveen.
Who is the player to watch in Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen?
Levi Smans of SC Heerenveen: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 40 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.