Fulham vs Hull City: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Premier League · Saturday 17 October 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Craven Cottage, London · updated 2026-10-09
Fulham host Hull City in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Craven Cottage. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Fulham slight favourites at 39%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 28% and expects about 2.5 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fulham 1.33, Hull City 1.21.
- Over 2.5 goals: 47% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Shea Charles
Shea Charles, 22 · Fulham · DMF · Anchor
Moneyball Scout picks Shea Charles as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 59 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 57, defensive 58).
- Blocked shots: 2.37 per 90 minutes, better than 99% of defensive midfielders
- Interceptions: 2.66 per 90 minutes, better than 94% of defensive midfielders
- Fouls committed: 0.30 per 90 minutes, better than 88% of defensive midfielders
Hull City score 1.2 goals a match this season from 1.05 expected: stopping them runs through Shea Charles.
Scout's notes: Blocks shots, Reads the game, Disciplined.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Fulham | Per match this season | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 14.4 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 4.4 | On target | 3.8 |
| 54.4 | Possession % | 32.2 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 60% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Fulham
- Alex Iwobi midfielder · rating 7.05 · 5 apps
- Joshua David Steven King midfielder · rating 7.01 · 5 apps
- Antonee Robinson defender · rating 6.89 · 5 apps
Hull City
- Mohamed Belloumi midfielder · rating 7.39 · 5 apps
- Konstantinos Tzolakis goalkeeper · rating 7.29 · 5 apps
- Nobel Mendy defender · rating 7.17 · 4 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 10 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Newcastle United Monday 12 October 2026
- Everton vs Chelsea Saturday 17 October 2026
- Manchester City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 17 October 2026
- Brentford vs Liverpool Saturday 17 October 2026
- Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Saturday 17 October 2026
- Leeds United vs Manchester United Sunday 18 October 2026
- Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Sunday 18 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.