Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 13
Süper Lig · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep · updated 2026-11-14
Gaziantep F.K. welcome Amed SK to Gaziantep Stadyumu in Gaziantep in Süper Lig Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Gaziantep F.K. have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate. Amed SK have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 64% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 14% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Amed SK are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Gaziantep F.K. at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gaziantep F.K. 1.02, Amed SK 1.98.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Gaziantep F.K.: form and key numbers
In style Gaziantep F.K. play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 1.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.8).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Amed SK: form and key numbers
In style Amed SK press high, take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.89 a match created, 0.91 conceded (goals minus xG: +7.2).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK: season averages side by side
| Gaziantep F.K. | Per match this season | Amed SK |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 2.5 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.89 |
| 1.59 | xG conceded | 0.91 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 3.9 | On target | 5.3 |
| 51.5 | Possession % | 47.9 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.8 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Gaziantep F.K.
- Arda Kızıldağ CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Reads the game (top 13% of his position)
- Juninho Bacuna CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 42 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 15% of his position)
Amed SK
- Mbaye Diagne CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 43 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 3% of his position)
- Ermal Krasniqi RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 37 · Dribbler, Creator (top 20% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gift Orban
Gift Orban, 24 · Amed SK · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 45
Gift Orban, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Amed SK in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in goals, luck taken out and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 45
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.79 / 90 | 79% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 79% |
| Expected goals | 0.70 / 90 | 75% |
| Shots on target | 46% | 65% |
| Shots | 3.76 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★ Inside forward Winger
- What Gift Orban is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gift Orban's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK prediction
Gaziantep F.K. should have more of the ball; Gaziantep F.K. work the ball wide and cross; Amed SK like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.02 for Gaziantep F.K. and 1.98 for Amed SK - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 56%. Amed SK have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Gaziantep F.K. 1-2 Amed SK
Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK: what the numbers say
- 1. Amed SK win, the likeliest result 59% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 58% by the model, 3.00 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Süper Lig previews
- Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Saturday 21 November 2026
- Galatasaray vs Samsunspor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Amed SK vs Rizespor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Saturday 21 November 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026
Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK: questions and answers
When is Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK?
Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 13.
Where is Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK played?
At Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep, Gaziantep F.K.'s home ground.
Who will win Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK?
Amed SK are the favourites: Gaziantep F.K. 18%, draw 23%, Amed SK 59%. Our prediction is Gaziantep F.K. 1-2 Amed SK.
Who is the player to watch in Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK?
Gift Orban of Amed SK: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 45 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep F.K. vs Amed SK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.