Genoa vs Juventus Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Genoa welcome Juventus to Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Genova in Serie A action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Genoa have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Juventus have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Juventus are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 27% and Genoa at 19%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Genoa +0.5 at 2.28, Juventus at 1.68. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.83, under 2.05, which gives over 53%.
Genoa: form and key numbers
In style Genoa are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 0.85 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created, 0.65 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 58.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Genoa vs Juventus: season averages side by side
| Genoa | Per match | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 |
| 1.35 | xG conceded | 0.65 |
| 0.75 | Goals | 1.38 |
| 10.6 | Shots | 15.9 |
| 3.0 | Shots on target | 5.4 |
| 0.9 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 37.9 | Pressure share % | 70.9 |
| 17.4 | Tackles | 16.4 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 12.8 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Genoa vs Juventus: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Genoa have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Genoa 0, Juventus 7 - 1.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Juventus 2-0 Genoa (April 6th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Genoa won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Juventus | 2 – 0 | Genoa |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Genoa | 0 – 1 | Juventus |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Juventus | 1 – 0 | Genoa |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Genoa | 0 – 3 | Juventus |
Players to watch
Genoa
- Leo Østigård CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 62 · Blocks shots, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
- Djibril Sow CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 55 · Chance creator, Press-resistant (top 15% of his position)
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball circulator, Creator (top 4% of his position)
- Zeki Çelik RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Creator, Hard to dribble past (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição, 23 · Juventus · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 64
Francisco Conceição, 23, plays as a winger for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and shots. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.66 / 90 | 93% |
| Shots | 2.91 / 90 | 74% |
| Dispossessed | 0.83 / 90 | 73% |
| Big chances created | 0.42 / 90 | 69% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.22 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Francisco Conceição is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Francisco Conceição's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Genoa vs Juventus prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball, with Genoa likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Juventus work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 0.80 for Genoa and 1.30 for Juventus - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 41%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Genoa 0-2 Juventus
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Genoa vs Juventus betting tips
- Tip 1: Juventus win or draw (double chance) 81% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 2.10 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
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- Sassuolo vs Lazio Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AS Roma vs Cagliari Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Torino vs Como Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AC Milan vs Bologna Thursday 29 October 2026
Genoa vs Juventus: questions and answers
When is Genoa vs Juventus?
Genoa vs Juventus is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Genoa vs Juventus played?
At Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Genoa's home ground.
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
Juventus are the favourites: Genoa 19%, draw 27%, Juventus 54%. Our prediction is Genoa 0-2 Juventus.
Who is the player to watch in Genoa vs Juventus?
Francisco Conceição of Juventus: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Juventus?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.