Torino vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Torino welcome Como to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino in Serie A action on Wednesday 28 October 2026.
Torino have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Como have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Como are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 26% and Torino at 23%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.0% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Torino +0.5 at 2.16, Como at 1.76. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.84, under 2.04, which gives over 53%.
Torino: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 50.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.7).
- Shots: 20.8 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.04.
Torino vs Como: season averages side by side
| Torino | Per match | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 1.43 |
| 1.63 | Goals | 1.75 |
| 10.6 | Shots | 20.8 |
| 3.6 | Shots on target | 6.8 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 1.9 |
| 43.1 | Pressure share % | 63.4 |
| 14.3 | Tackles | 17.6 |
| 9.4 | Fouls | 9.3 |
| 0.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Torino vs Como: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Torino have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Torino 2, Como 12 - 3.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Como 6-0 Torino (January 24th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Torino won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Como | 6 – 0 | Torino |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Torino | 1 – 5 | Como |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Como | 1 – 0 | Torino |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Torino | 1 – 0 | Como |
Players to watch
Torino
- Ardian Ismajli CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 62 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 5% of his position)
- Daniel Bragança CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 17% of his position)
Como
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 75 · Reads the game, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Press-resistant, Ball circulator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Assane Diao
Assane Diao, 21 · Como · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 70
Assane Diao, 21, plays as a winger for Como in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and dispossessed. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Natural, 70
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 42
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.38 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.42 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 91% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.17 / 90 | 90% |
| Big chances created | 0.42 / 90 | 71% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Press-resistant, Creator.
- What Assane Diao is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Assane Diao's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Torino vs Como prediction
Como should have more of the ball, with Torino likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Como work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.32 for Torino and 1.50 for Como - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Torino 1-2 Como
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Torino vs Como betting tips
- Tip 1: Como win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.83 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
More Serie A previews
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- AS Roma vs Cagliari Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AC Milan vs Bologna Thursday 29 October 2026
- Parma Calcio vs Udinese Thursday 29 October 2026
Torino vs Como: questions and answers
When is Torino vs Como?
Torino vs Como is on Wednesday 28 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Torino vs Como played?
At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Torino's home ground.
Who will win Torino vs Como?
Como are the favourites: Torino 23%, draw 26%, Como 52%. Our prediction is Torino 1-2 Como.
Who is the player to watch in Torino vs Como?
Assane Diao of Como: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Como?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.