Hull City vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 8
Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 14:00 UTC · MKM Stadium, Hull · updated 2026-10-11
Hull City welcome Brentford to MKM Stadium in Hull in Premier League Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Hull City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Brentford have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Hull City 34%, the draw 27%, Brentford 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Hull City 1.27, Brentford 1.39.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 32.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Brentford: form and key numbers
In style Brentford are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.87 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 15.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Hull City vs Brentford: season averages side by side
| Hull City | Per match this season | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.87 |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | 1.47 |
| 12.0 | Shots | 15.8 |
| 3.8 | On target | 4.5 |
| 32.2 | Possession % | 45.5 |
| 60% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 3.4 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.81 | Average rating | 6.86 |
Players to watch
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- John Egan CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 51 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 6% of his position)
Brentford
- Caoimhín Kelleher GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 72 · Long passer, Box defender (top 20% of his position)
- Mamadou Sangaré CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 57 · Ball-winner, Dribbler (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Vitaly Janelt
Vitaly Janelt, 28 · Brentford · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 59
Vitaly Janelt, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Brentford in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in interceptions and tackles. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 3.33 / 90 | 98% |
| Tackles | 3.00 / 90 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 0.83 / 90 | 90% |
| Duels won | 4.33 / 90 | 61% |
| Long balls | 2.00 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Ball-winner, Blocks shots.
- What Vitaly Janelt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Vitaly Janelt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Hull City vs Brentford prediction
Brentford should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.27 for Hull City and 1.39 for Brentford - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Hull City 1-1 Brentford
Hull City vs Brentford betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.66 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Aston Villa vs Manchester City Saturday 24 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Fulham Saturday 24 October 2026
- Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Sunday 25 October 2026
- Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 25 October 2026
Hull City vs Brentford: questions and answers
When is Hull City vs Brentford?
Hull City vs Brentford is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 8.
Where is Hull City vs Brentford played?
At MKM Stadium, Hull, Hull City's home ground.
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
It is close: Hull City 34%, draw 27%, Brentford 39%. Our prediction is Hull City 1-1 Brentford.
Who is the player to watch in Hull City vs Brentford?
Vitaly Janelt of Brentford: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 59 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Brentford?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.