Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 8
Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Anfield, Liverpool · updated 2026-10-11
Liverpool welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Anfield in Liverpool in Premier League Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Liverpool have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Brighton & Hove Albion have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Liverpool 36%, the draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Liverpool 1.54, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.61.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Liverpool: form and key numbers
In style Liverpool keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.32 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 59.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.00 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.0).
- Shots: 18.0 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 60.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 67% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.01.
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion: season averages side by side
| Liverpool | Per match this season | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.00 |
| 1.32 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 15.2 | Shots | 18.0 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.5 |
| 59.0 | Possession % | 60.2 |
| 60% | Clean sheets % | 67% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 7.01 |
Players to watch
Liverpool
- Virgil van Dijk CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Long passer, Disciplined (top 1% of his position)
- Jérémy Jacquet FB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Pascal Groß CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 64 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak, 27 · Liverpool · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 65
Alexander Isak, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Liverpool in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 90% |
| Expected goals | 0.73 / 90 | 89% |
| Goals | 0.87 / 90 | 88% |
| Shots | 3.25 / 90 | 74% |
| Shots on target | 47% | 67% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher.
- What Alexander Isak is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexander Isak's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion should have more of the ball; Liverpool go long and direct; Brighton & Hove Albion are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.54 for Liverpool and 1.61 for Brighton & Hove Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 64%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.16 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Sunday 25 October 2026
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Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions and answers
When is Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 8.
Where is Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion played?
At Anfield, Liverpool, Liverpool's home ground.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
It is close: Liverpool 36%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 39%. Our prediction is Liverpool 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Alexander Isak of Liverpool: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.