Hull City vs Everton: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Hull City host Everton in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bookmakers make Everton narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 29% and Hull City at 28%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Hull City +0.25 at 2.05, Everton at 1.85. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.88, under 2.01, which gives over 52%.
Form in numbers
- Everton create more: 1.31 expected goals a match against 1.05 for Hull City.
- Hull City give away less, 1.44 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Hull City 12.0 (3.8 on target), Everton 16.0 (4.6 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Hull City 24.2%, Everton 48.8%.
| Hull City | Per match | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 1.20 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 12.0 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 3.8 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 24.2 | Pressure share % | 48.8 |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 18.0 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 7.8 |
| 3.4 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Hull City vs Everton in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.