Internacional vs Bragantino Prediction and Stats | Brasileirão Gameweek 37
Brasileirão · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre · updated 2026-11-15
Internacional welcome Bragantino to Estadio Beira-Rio in Porto Alegre in Brasileirão Gameweek 37 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
Internacional have played 34 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 26% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 17 matches, with a 67% win rate. Bragantino have played 34 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 17 matches, with a 31% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Internacional are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 26% and Bragantino at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Internacional 1.52, Bragantino 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (34 and 34 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Internacional: form and key numbers
In style Internacional are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.7).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 24% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Bragantino: form and key numbers
In style Bragantino play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.51 a match created, 1.82 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.2).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 26% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Internacional vs Bragantino: season averages side by side
| Internacional | Per match this season | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Matches | 34 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.51 |
| 1.45 | xG conceded | 1.82 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 4.4 | On target | 5.5 |
| 46.5 | Possession % | 49.6 |
| 24% | Clean sheets % | 26% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Internacional
- Matheus Bahia LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Creator, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
- Alexandro Bernabei LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 50 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 22% of his position)
Bragantino
- Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Tiago Volpi GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 61 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 20% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Henry Mosquera
Henry Mosquera, 25 · Bragantino · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 62
Henry Mosquera, 25, plays as a winger for Bragantino in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and key passes. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 62
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 59
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 5.64 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 2.54 / 90 | 81% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 79% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.08 / 90 | 76% |
| Big chances created | 0.44 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Chance creator.
- What Henry Mosquera is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Henry Mosquera's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Internacional vs Bragantino prediction
Bragantino should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.52 for Internacional and 1.28 for Bragantino - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. Internacional have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Internacional 2-1 Bragantino
Internacional vs Bragantino: what the numbers say
- 1. Internacional unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.80 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 15.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Brasileirão previews
- Coritiba vs Santos Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Remo vs Chapecoense Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Flamengo vs Athletico PR Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Grêmio vs Bahia Thursday 19 November 2026
- Corinthians vs Botafogo Thursday 19 November 2026
- Vitória vs Bragantino Thursday 19 November 2026
- Vasco da Gama vs Internacional Thursday 19 November 2026
Internacional vs Bragantino: questions and answers
When is Internacional vs Bragantino?
Internacional vs Bragantino is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC, in Brasileirão Gameweek 37.
Where is Internacional vs Bragantino played?
At Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Internacional's home ground.
Who will win Internacional vs Bragantino?
Internacional are the favourites: Internacional 42%, draw 26%, Bragantino 31%. Our prediction is Internacional 2-1 Bragantino.
Who is the player to watch in Internacional vs Bragantino?
Henry Mosquera of Bragantino: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Bragantino?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.