Vasco da Gama vs Internacional Prediction and Stats | Brasileirão Gameweek 35
Brasileirão · Thursday 19 November 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, Rio de Janeiro · updated 2026-11-13
Vasco da Gama welcome Internacional to Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama in Rio de Janeiro in Brasileirão Gameweek 35 action on Thursday 19 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
Vasco da Gama have played 33 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 17 matches, with a 73% win rate. Internacional have played 34 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 26% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 17 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Vasco da Gama are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 26% and Internacional at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Vasco da Gama 1.64, Internacional 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (33 and 34 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Vasco da Gama: form and key numbers
In style Vasco da Gama keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.70 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: -13.2).
- Shots: 17.5 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 54.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 12% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Internacional: form and key numbers
In style Internacional are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.7).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 24% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional: season averages side by side
| Vasco da Gama | Per match this season | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Matches | 34 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 1.03 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 17.5 | Shots | 14.8 |
| 5.2 | On target | 4.4 |
| 54.5 | Possession % | 46.5 |
| 12% | Clean sheets % | 24% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Vasco da Gama
- Claudio Spinelli CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 65 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 12% of his position)
- Jair DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 64 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 5% of his position)
Internacional
- Matheus Bahia LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Creator, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
- Alexandro Bernabei LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Cuiabano
Cuiabano, 23 · Vasco da Gama · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 69
Cuiabano, 23, plays as a wing-back for Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in tackles and duels won. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 69
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 69
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.75 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 8.64 / 90 | 98% |
| Interceptions | 2.04 / 90 | 96% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.34 / 90 | 72% |
| Expected goals | 0.13 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Duel winner, Reads the game.
- What Cuiabano is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional prediction
Vasco da Gama should have more of the ball, with Internacional likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.64 for Vasco da Gama and 1.09 for Internacional - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. Vasco da Gama have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Internacional
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional: what the numbers say
- 1. Vasco da Gama unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.73 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 11.6 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Brasileirão previews
- Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Saturday 14 November 2026
- Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026
- Coritiba vs Santos Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Remo vs Chapecoense Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Flamengo vs Athletico PR Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Grêmio vs Bahia Thursday 19 November 2026
- Corinthians vs Botafogo Thursday 19 November 2026
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional: questions and answers
When is Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional is on Thursday 19 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC, in Brasileirão Gameweek 35.
Where is Vasco da Gama vs Internacional played?
At Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, Rio de Janeiro, Vasco da Gama's home ground.
Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?
Vasco da Gama are the favourites: Vasco da Gama 49%, draw 26%, Internacional 25%. Our prediction is Vasco da Gama 2-1 Internacional.
Who is the player to watch in Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?
Cuiabano of Vasco da Gama: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.