Juventus vs Atalanta: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Serie A · Sunday 20 September 2026 · 23:59 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Juventus host Atalanta in the Serie A on Sunday 20 September 2026 (23:59). The bookmakers make Juventus narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 26% and Atalanta at 21%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.6% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Juventus -0.5 at 1.68, Atalanta at 2.21. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.91, under 1.93, which gives over 50%.
Form in numbers
- Juventus create more: 1.52 expected goals a match against 0.93 for Atalanta.
- Juventus give away less, 0.61 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Juventus 17.6 (5.8 on target), Atalanta 11.8 (3.4 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Juventus 73.3%, Atalanta 38.6%.
| Juventus | Per match | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.93 |
| 0.61 | xG conceded | 1.82 |
| 1.60 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 17.6 | Shots | 11.8 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 0.6 |
| 73.3 | Pressure share % | 38.6 |
| 12.8 | Tackles | 12.6 |
| 14.8 | Fouls | 9.6 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Juventus won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Juventus | 2 – 0 | Atalanta |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Atalanta | 0 – 1 | Juventus |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Juventus | 1 – 1 | Atalanta |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Juventus | 0 – 4 | Atalanta |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Atalanta | 1 – 1 | Juventus |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.