Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Russian Premier League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Samara Arena, Samara · updated 2026-11-15
Krylya Sovetov welcome Dinamo Moskva to Samara Arena in Samara in Russian Premier League Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Krylya Sovetov have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded over 8 matches, with a 50% win rate. Dinamo Moskva have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 71% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Dinamo Moskva are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Krylya Sovetov at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov 1.22, Dinamo Moskva 1.53.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Krylya Sovetov: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Dinamo Moskva: form and key numbers
In style Dinamo Moskva keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.90 a match created, 0.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 61.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva: season averages side by side
| Krylya Sovetov | Per match this season | Dinamo Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.90 |
| 1.27 | xG conceded | 0.98 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 15.9 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.6 |
| 49.4 | Possession % | 61.0 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.93 |
Players to watch
Krylya Sovetov
- Mihajlo Banjac CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 32 · Chance creator, Reads the game (top 50% of his position)
- Vladislav Shitov CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 32 · Chance creator, Accurate shooter (top 49% of his position)
Dinamo Moskva
- Nicolás Marichal CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 33 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 29% of his position)
- Roberto Fernández CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 32 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 57% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuriy Gorshkov
Yuriy Gorshkov, 27 · Krylya Sovetov · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 31
Yuriy Gorshkov, 27, plays as a wing-back for Krylya Sovetov in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and accurate crosses. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 31
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 31
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 27
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.16 / 90 | 65% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.66 / 90 | 59% |
| Dribbled past | 0.39 / 90 | 58% |
| Key passes | 2.24 / 90 | 54% |
| Interceptions | 1.56 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- What Yuriy Gorshkov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuriy Gorshkov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva prediction
Dinamo Moskva should have more of the ball, with Krylya Sovetov likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Dinamo Moskva are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.22 for Krylya Sovetov and 1.53 for Dinamo Moskva - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%. Dinamo Moskva have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Dinamo Moskva
Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva: what the numbers say
- 1. Dinamo Moskva unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.75 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Friday 20 November 2026
- Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026
- Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026
- CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva: questions and answers
When is Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva?
Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 16.
Where is Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva played?
At Samara Arena, Samara, Krylya Sovetov's home ground.
Who will win Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva?
Dinamo Moskva are the favourites: Krylya Sovetov 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Moskva 44%. Our prediction is Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Dinamo Moskva.
Who is the player to watch in Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva?
Yuriy Gorshkov of Krylya Sovetov: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 31 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Krylya Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.