Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction and Betting Tips
Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Le Havre welcome Paris Saint Germain to Stade Océane in Le Havre in Ligue 1 action on Saturday 31 October 2026.
Le Havre have played 8 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate. Paris Saint Germain have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 15% and Le Havre at 11%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Le Havre +2 at 1.85, Paris Saint Germain at 2.05. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.86, under 2.02, which gives over 52%.
Le Havre: form and key numbers
In style Le Havre press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.78 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.2).
- Shots: 16.3 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Paris Saint Germain: form and key numbers
In style Paris Saint Germain keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.50 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 20.9 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 68.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: season averages side by side
| Le Havre | Per match | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.50 |
| 1.54 | xG conceded | 1.21 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 16.3 | Shots | 20.9 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 7.3 |
| 0.9 | Big chances missed | 3.6 |
| 58.1 | Pressure share % | 79.5 |
| 19.9 | Tackles | 15.0 |
| 14.1 | Fouls | 5.9 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 7 measured matches.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Le Havre have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Le Havre 2, Paris Saint Germain 10 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain (February 28th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Le Havre won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Le Havre | 0 – 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 – 0 | Le Havre |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 – 1 | Le Havre |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Le Havre | 1 – 4 | Paris Saint Germain |
Players to watch
Le Havre
- Josh Maja CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 62 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Shot-stopper, Dominant in the air (top 4% of his position)
Paris Saint Germain
- Fabián Ruiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 74 · Creator, Press-resistant (top 3% of his position)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Dribbler (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué, 21 · Paris Saint Germain · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 75
Désiré Doué, 21, plays as a winger for Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 75
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 71
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 69
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.06 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.57 / 90 | 94% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.29 / 90 | 88% |
| Fouls won | 2.53 / 90 | 84% |
| Key passes | 2.53 / 90 | 81% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler.
- What Désiré Doué is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Désiré Doué's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
Paris Saint Germain should have more of the ball, with Le Havre likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Le Havre work the ball wide and cross; Paris Saint Germain like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.40 for Le Havre and 1.96 for Paris Saint Germain - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 65%. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Le Havre 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain betting tips
- Tip 1: Paris Saint Germain to win 74% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Ligue 1 previews
- Angers vs Lorient Monday 26 October 2026
- Auxerre vs Le Mans Monday 26 October 2026
- Marseille vs Le Havre Monday 26 October 2026
- Rennes vs Strasbourg Monday 26 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Monday 26 October 2026
- Lille vs Lens Saturday 31 October 2026
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers
When is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain is on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain played?
At Stade Océane, Le Havre, Le Havre's home ground.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain are the favourites: Le Havre 11%, draw 15%, Paris Saint Germain 74%. Our prediction is Le Havre 1-2 Paris Saint Germain.
Who is the player to watch in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Désiré Doué of Paris Saint Germain: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.