Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 18
Championship · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · LNER Stadium, Lincoln · updated 2026-11-14
Lincoln City welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to LNER Stadium in Lincoln in Championship Gameweek 18 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Lincoln City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate. Wolverhampton Wanderers have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 53% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 8 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Wolverhampton Wanderers are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 26% and Lincoln City at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lincoln City 1.09, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.68.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Lincoln City: form and key numbers
In style Lincoln City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.42 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 37.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Wolverhampton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Wolverhampton Wanderers keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 0.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 54.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: season averages side by side
| Lincoln City | Per match this season | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.72 |
| 1.62 | xG conceded | 0.93 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 3.1 | On target | 4.5 |
| 37.0 | Possession % | 54.6 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 53% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.5 | Corners | 6.7 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Lincoln City
- Mikkel Ladefoged CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 58 · Dominant in the air, Chance creator (top 5% of his position)
- Callum Elder LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 42 · Crosser, Creator (top 10% of his position)
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Raúl Jiménez CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 57 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Dominant in the air (top 20% of his position)
- Rafiki Saïd LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Big-chance creator, High shot volume (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kieran Trippier
Kieran Trippier, 36 · Wolverhampton Wanderers · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 43
Kieran Trippier, 36, plays as a wing-back for Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 43
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 43
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 39
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.44 / 90 | 90% |
| Key passes | 3.16 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 71% |
| Tackles | 2.30 / 90 | 41% |
| Interceptions | 0.86 / 90 | 21% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Kieran Trippier is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kieran Trippier's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers should have more of the ball, with Lincoln City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Lincoln City are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Wolverhampton Wanderers work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.09 for Lincoln City and 1.68 for Wolverhampton Wanderers - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Wolverhampton Wanderers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Lincoln City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: what the numbers say
- 1. Wolverhampton Wanderers unbeaten (win or draw) 76% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.77 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 10.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
- Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026
- Norwich City vs Cardiff City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: questions and answers
When is Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 18.
Where is Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers played?
At LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincoln City's home ground.
Who will win Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Wolverhampton Wanderers are the favourites: Lincoln City 24%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 51%. Our prediction is Lincoln City 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Who is the player to watch in Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Kieran Trippier of Wolverhampton Wanderers: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.